IV is elevated. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 82.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.99x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 53% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.91x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 69.4% — normal range
Effective IV 92.9% (ATM 69.4% + spread 11.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 17.77% (spread 11.75% + slippage 6.02%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.42 (vega 2.848 / spread 11.75%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -17% (bearish) — Raw: -17%
|OI skew| 37.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew +67.4%, OI skew +37.8% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +9%, ATM: -2%, OTM: -20% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 33% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -7.3% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 58% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 21% — mixed
Aggressive execution 56% — patient
Conviction -17 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.8% — wide
OI 759,135 — deep
Volume 29,248/day — active
$0.59 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 73% — wider than sector
Depth 724.1 contracts (bid:410.0 ask:314.1) — deep
Avg slippage 6.02% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -9.0% — contango
IV percentile 83% — seller opportunity
IV kink 1.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 406.91 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -17% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 51 (ITM 20% + inst 21%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.