IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 77.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.17x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 67% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.01x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 59.9% — normal range
Effective IV 82.2% (ATM 59.9% + spread 11.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 15.11% (spread 11.16% + slippage 3.95%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.12 (vega 5.712 / spread 11.16%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +31% (strong bullish) — Raw: +35%
|OI skew| 5.2% — balanced
Vol skew +45.9%, OI skew +5.2% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +15%, ATM: +22%, OTM: +42% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 41% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 69% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 13% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 45% — patient
Conviction +31 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.2% — wide
OI 390,414 — deep
Volume 12,532/day — active
$0.56 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 85% — much wider than sector
Depth 252.7 contracts (bid:145.2 ask:107.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.95% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +1.1% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 77% — seller opportunity
IV kink 4.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 475.98 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +31% @ 66% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 43 (ITM 20% + inst 13%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.