IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 90.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.13x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 70% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.31x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 63.3% — normal range
Effective IV 68.7% (ATM 63.3% + spread 2.7% + bias) — fair
Total drag 4.64% (spread 2.70% + slippage 1.94%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 148.98 (vega 40.223 / spread 2.70%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -6% (neutral) — Raw: -9%
|OI skew| 3.4% — balanced
Vol skew +14.2%, OI skew -3.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 56%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -8%, ATM: +2%, OTM: -13% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 55% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 13.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -0.5% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 76% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 33% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 53% — patient
Conviction -6 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 2.7% — acceptable
OI 3,638,277 — deep
Volume 485,128/day — active
$0.14 to cross — cheap
4 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 71% — wider than sector
Depth 218.9 contracts (bid:107.4 ask:111.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 1.94% — fair
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +30.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 91% — seller opportunity
IV kink 14.8pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 660.48 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 4d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -6% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 63 (ITM 20% + inst 33%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.