
IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 81.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.64x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 61% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.80x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 69.0% — normal range
Effective IV 102.5% (ATM 69.0% + spread 16.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 26.37% (spread 16.77% + slippage 9.60%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 8.16 (vega 13.686 / spread 16.77%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +50% (strong bullish) — Raw: +57%
|OI skew| 66.3% — put-heavy
Vol skew -18.4%, OI skew -66.3% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +47%, ATM: +60%, OTM: +100% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 85% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -1.1% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 32% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 45% — patient
Conviction +50 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.8% — wide
OI 9,771 — thin
Volume 49/day — thin
$0.84 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 85% — much wider than sector
Depth 20.4 contracts (bid:13.8 ask:6.6) — thin
Avg slippage 9.60% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -19.8% — contango
IV percentile 81% — seller opportunity
IV kink -8.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 22.52 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +50% @ 74% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.