Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 65.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.21x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 26% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.09x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 40.0% — normal range
Effective IV 103.9% (ATM 40.0% + spread 32.0% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 43.31% (spread 31.96% + slippage 11.35%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 8.64 (vega 27.615 / spread 31.96%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -66% (strong bearish) — Raw: -45%
|OI skew| 4.4% — balanced
Vol skew +96.3%, OI skew +4.4% — aligned
0-DTE 20%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +100%, ATM: +19%, OTM: -60% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 0% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 4.7x avg — hot
Vol/OI 20.7% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
2 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +27.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 91% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 71% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 54% — patient
Conviction -66 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 32.0% — wide
OI 17,216 — adequate
Volume 3,561/day — adequate
$1.60 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 28% — tighter than sector
Depth 54.8 contracts (bid:25.8 ask:29.0) — thin
Avg slippage 11.35% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +8.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 65% — neutral
IV kink 3.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 449.03 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -66% @ 83% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 101 (ITM 20% + inst 71%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.