QLDProShares Ultra QQQ
QLD Options Overview
Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
QLD Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 63.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.10x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 79% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.79x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 39.8% — normal range
Effective IV 81.4% (ATM 39.8% + spread 20.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 28.09% (spread 20.80% + slippage 7.29%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.20 (vega 12.892 / spread 20.80%) — acceptable
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -78% (strong bearish) — Raw: -67%
|OI skew| 49.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +36.0%, OI skew +49.2% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -100%, ATM: -24%, OTM: -69% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 18% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.9% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 39% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 34% — patient
Conviction -78 (bearish) — strong conviction
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 20.8% — wide
OI 46,070 — adequate
Volume 890/day — adequate
$1.04 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 84% — much wider than sector
Depth 255.8 contracts (bid:114.5 ask:141.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.29% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -20.9% — contango
IV percentile 63% — neutral
IV kink -6.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 210.99 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -78% @ 89% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 69 (ITM 20% + inst 39%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.