Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 65.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.78x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 38% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 49.5% — normal range
Effective IV 162.0% (ATM 49.5% + spread 56.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 78.24% (spread 56.23% + slippage 22.01%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.59 (vega 8.919 / spread 56.23%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -62% (strong bearish) — Raw: -71%
|OI skew| 23.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew +63.6%, OI skew +23.4% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +100%, ATM: -100%, OTM: -72% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 36% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 8% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 22% — patient
Conviction -62 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 56.2% — wide
OI 43,477 — adequate
Volume 44/day — thin
$2.81 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 76% — wider than sector
Depth 157.1 contracts (bid:46.8 ask:110.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 22.01% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +6.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 65% — neutral
IV kink 7.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 743.22 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -62% @ 81% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.