Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 34.6% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.82x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 15% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.93x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.6% — normal range
Effective IV 57.1% (ATM 31.6% + spread 12.8% + bias) — good value
Total drag 17.31% (spread 12.77% + slippage 4.54%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 15.14 (vega 19.338 / spread 12.77%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -5% (neutral) — Raw: -5%
|OI skew| 38.8% — put-heavy
Vol skew -41.1%, OI skew -38.8% — aligned
0-DTE 12%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +48%, ATM: -28%, OTM: +2% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 88% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 78% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 13% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction -5 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.8% — wide
OI 45,270 — adequate
Volume 3,047/day — adequate
$0.64 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 20% — much tighter than sector
Depth 129.3 contracts (bid:53.1 ask:76.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.54% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -7.1% — contango
IV percentile 35% — neutral
IV kink -0.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 90.74 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -5% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 43 (ITM 20% + inst 13%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.