IV is low. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 20.6% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.14x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 8% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.77x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 28.5% — normal range
Effective IV 50.2% (ATM 28.5% + spread 10.8% + bias) — good value
Total drag 18.53% (spread 10.84% + slippage 7.69%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 75.17 (vega 81.486 / spread 10.84%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -22% (bearish) — Raw: -23%
|OI skew| 4.4% — balanced
Vol skew -1.6%, OI skew -4.4% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 58%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +14%, ATM: -26%, OTM: -23% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 64% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +15.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 56% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 36% — patient
Conviction -22 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.8% — wide
OI 30,582 — adequate
Volume 1,768/day — adequate
$0.54 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 10% — much tighter than sector
Depth 98.3 contracts (bid:45.4 ask:52.9) — thin
Avg slippage 7.69% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -22.9% — contango
IV percentile 21% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -5.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1711.89 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -22% @ 61% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.