IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 71.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.01x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 68% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.04x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 55.6% — normal range
Effective IV 83.8% (ATM 55.6% + spread 14.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 21.73% (spread 14.12% + slippage 7.61%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 8.20 (vega 11.580 / spread 14.12%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -63% (strong bearish) — Raw: -21%
|OI skew| 3.9% — balanced
Vol skew -41.0%, OI skew +3.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -85%, ATM: +100%, OTM: +100% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 88% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 33% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 57% — patient
Conviction -63 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 14.1% — wide
OI 7,379 — thin
Volume 61/day — thin
$0.71 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 80% — much wider than sector
Depth 20.1 contracts (bid:8.6 ask:11.5) — thin
Avg slippage 7.61% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +4.0% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 71% — seller opportunity
IV kink 2.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 24.91 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -63% @ 81% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.