IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 88.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.42x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 70% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 82.9% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 101.8% (ATM 82.9% + spread 9.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 14.31% (spread 9.46% + slippage 4.85%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 77.42 (vega 73.238 / spread 9.46%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -34% (strong bearish) — Raw: -34%
|OI skew| 50.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew +12.0%, OI skew +50.7% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -27%, ATM: +20%, OTM: -39% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 74% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 40% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 29% — patient
Conviction -34 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.5% — wide
OI 12,533 — adequate
Volume 241/day — thin
$0.47 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 83% — much wider than sector
Depth 38.8 contracts (bid:18.6 ask:20.2) — thin
Avg slippage 4.85% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +6.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 89% — seller opportunity
IV kink 6.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 509.31 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -34% @ 67% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.