IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 92.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.67x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 82% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.66x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 97.6% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 116.1% (ATM 97.6% + spread 9.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 12.53% (spread 9.25% + slippage 3.28%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.26 (vega 4.866 / spread 9.25%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -2% (neutral) — Raw: -8%
|OI skew| 42.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +45.0%, OI skew +42.2% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +13%, ATM: +2%, OTM: -13% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 51% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 76% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 33% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction -2 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.2% — wide
OI 713,939 — deep
Volume 44,998/day — active
$0.46 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 89% — much wider than sector
Depth 140.5 contracts (bid:66.7 ask:73.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.28% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +65.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 93% — seller opportunity
IV kink 39.2pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 6.38 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 63 (ITM 20% + inst 33%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.