
IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 98.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.21x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 98% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.67x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 175.4% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 203.1% (ATM 175.4% + spread 13.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 18.83% (spread 13.83% + slippage 5.00%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.94 (vega 1.299 / spread 13.83%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -31% (strong bearish) — Raw: -38%
|OI skew| 62.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +47.2%, OI skew +62.9% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -19%, ATM: -17%, OTM: -47% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 45% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.8% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 58% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 27% — mixed
Aggressive execution 25% — patient
Conviction -31 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.8% — wide
OI 749,978 — deep
Volume 13,492/day — active
$0.69 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 99% — much wider than sector
Depth 660.7 contracts (bid:321.9 ask:338.8) — deep
Avg slippage 5.00% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -32.7% — contango
IV percentile 99% — seller opportunity
IV kink -41.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 74.64 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -31% @ 66% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 57 (ITM 20% + inst 27%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.