IV is elevated. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 78.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.51x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 45% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.99x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 64.0% — normal range
Effective IV 81.4% (ATM 64.0% + spread 8.7% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 14.24% (spread 8.72% + slippage 5.52%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 103.10 (vega 89.899 / spread 8.72%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +9% (neutral) — Raw: +10%
|OI skew| 12.4% — balanced
Vol skew +31.5%, OI skew +12.4% — aligned
0-DTE 37%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +2%, ATM: +6%, OTM: +13% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 56% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 71% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 13% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 41% — patient
Conviction +9 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.7% — wide
OI 684,227 — deep
Volume 35,173/day — active
$0.44 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 67% — wider than sector
Depth 79.2 contracts (bid:36.1 ask:43.1) — thin
Avg slippage 5.52% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -1.4% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 79% — seller opportunity
IV kink 1.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1039.30 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +9% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 43 (ITM 20% + inst 13%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.