IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 77.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.82x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 89% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.20x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 61.8% — normal range
Effective IV 71.9% (ATM 61.8% + spread 5.0% + bias) — fair
Total drag 9.30% (spread 5.03% + slippage 4.27%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.51 (vega 1.765 / spread 5.03%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -7% (neutral) — Raw: -8%
|OI skew| 31.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +43.1%, OI skew +31.3% — aligned
0-DTE 27%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +4%, ATM: -4%, OTM: -10% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 17% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.8x avg — hot
Vol/OI 22.8% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 95% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 35% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 68% — urgent
Conviction -7 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.0% — wide
OI 4,634,118 — deep
Volume 1,054,141/day — active
$0.25 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 91% — much wider than sector
Depth 993.1999999999999 contracts (bid:451.4 ask:541.8) — deep
Avg slippage 4.27% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +20.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 78% — seller opportunity
IV kink 11.9pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 101.44 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -7% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 65 (ITM 20% + inst 35%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.