IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 87.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.01x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 70% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.15x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 79.4% — normal range
Effective IV 98.9% (ATM 79.4% + spread 9.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 14.87% (spread 9.77% + slippage 5.10%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.07 (vega 2.024 / spread 9.77%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -14% (bearish) — Raw: -9%
|OI skew| 30.1% — call-heavy
Vol skew +43.9%, OI skew +30.1% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +38%, ATM: +27%, OTM: -13% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 87% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 39% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 48% — patient
Conviction -14 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.8% — wide
OI 381,334 — deep
Volume 25,178/day — active
$0.49 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 88% — much wider than sector
Depth 163.7 contracts (bid:87.1 ask:76.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.10% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +15.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 88% — seller opportunity
IV kink 11.1pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 9.29 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 69 (ITM 20% + inst 39%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.