
Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 68.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.23x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 49% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 50.9% — normal range
Effective IV 126.0% (ATM 50.9% + spread 37.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 47.05% (spread 37.55% + slippage 9.50%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.46 (vega 5.484 / spread 37.55%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -38% (strong bearish) — Raw: -15%
|OI skew| 66.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew -4.3%, OI skew +66.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -100%, ATM: -14%, OTM: -1% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 86% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 34% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 21% — patient
Conviction -38 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 37.5% — wide
OI 13,553 — adequate
Volume 92/day — thin
$1.88 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 77% — wider than sector
Depth 113.5 contracts (bid:50.1 ask:63.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 9.50% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.9% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 68% — neutral
IV kink -1.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 36.46 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -38% @ 69% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.