USARUSA Rare Earth, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Options Analysis Report•METAL MINING
Market Cap $6.3B|NASDAQ
● 2026-05-29$28.01
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-05-28 EOD data
1Y +213.0%YTD +98.0%7D +10.7%
Options Vol
48,358
30D
Implied Move
±32.7%
IV Rank
32%
USAR Options Overview
IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
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Value
Is IV priced right?
3.1
ExpensiveCheap
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV
levels.Risk Checks3/9 checks passed
IV Rank
≤35%IV Rank 95.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV Ratio
<1.05xIV/HV 0.98x — IV ≤ HV
Sector Relative≤50%
Sector percentile 97% — above sector median
Term Structure
<1.1xFront/Back 1.08x — backwardation
Skew Normal
<1.25xPut/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
Absolute IV
<80%ATM IV 112.6% — crisis-level IV
Spread-Adjusted Value
<80%Effective IV 129.5% (ATM 112.6% + spread 8.4% + bias) — expensive
Execution Efficiency
<3.0%Total drag 12.69% (spread 8.44% + slippage 4.25%) — high friction
Vega Efficiency
≥5.0Vega efficiency 0.69 (vega 0.583 / spread 8.44%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
7.2
BearishBullish
Analyzes
put/call ratios
, open interest skew
, and flow direction to determine market bias.Risk ChecksBullish - Strong signal (Conviction: +20%, Raw: +10%)
Flow Direction
|net sentiment| ≥25%Conviction-weighted: +20% (bullish) — Raw: +10%
OI Skew Magnitude
≥15%|OI skew| 22.1% — call-heavy
Volume-OI Alignment
Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%Vol skew +59.2%, OI skew +22.1% — aligned
Conviction Quality
≥2/3 conditions0-DTE 25%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI Momentum
|change| ≥3%OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Smart Money Flow
|weighted flow| ≥20%ITM: +29%, ATM: -8%, OTM: +8% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%
Sector P/C percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
4.2
QuietActive
Detects volume surges,
block trades
, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.Risk Checks2/9 checks passed
Volume Surge
≥1.5xVolume 0.7x avg — normal
Turnover Rate
≥15%Vol/OI 8.5% — normal turnover
Strike Concentration
≥60%Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
Multi-Day Persistence
≥2 days1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI Build
≥5%OI change +8.5% (5d) — building
Sector Relative≥60%
Sector activity percentile 90% — very active vs sector
Trade Quality
≥30%Large trade volume 19% — mixed
Execution Urgency
≥60%Aggressive execution 43% — patient
Flow Conviction
≥30Conviction +20 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
4.8
IlliquidLiquid
Evaluates
bid-ask spreads
, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.Risk Checks4/8 checks passed
Tradeable Spread
≤5.0%Spread 8.4% — wide
Adequate OI
≥10,000OI 566,206 — deep
Active Volume
≥500Volume 48,358/day — active
Reasonable Cost
≤$0.50$0.42 to cross — cheap
Strike Coverage
≥5 strikes0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector Relative≤40%
Sector spread percentile 98% — much wider than sector
Order Book Depth
≥100 contractsDepth 441.59999999999997 contracts (bid:262.4 ask:179.2) — adequate
Execution Quality
<1.0%Avg slippage 4.25% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
7.3
RiskyFavorable
Considers earnings proximity,
time decay
, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
Term Structure Clarity
|slope| ≥5%Slope +8.2% — backwardation
IV Percentile Clarity
<30 or >70IV percentile 95% — seller opportunity
Event Detection
≥10pts kinkIV kink 6.4pts — no clear event
Theta/Vega Clarity
<0.5 or >2.0θ/ν ratio 1.65 — favors mixed
Expiration Distribution
≥3 expirations4 liquid expirations — flexible
Event Risk
≥60% (safe)safe window: No earnings detected
Spread Momentum
<1.2 ratioSpread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow Momentum
≥25% strength + ≥50% consistencyFlow +20% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Smart Money Timing
≥40 composite scoreScore 49 (ITM 20% + inst 19%) — moderate institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
Option Buyers
Long Calls5.4
bullishIV expensive, bullish flow
Long Puts3.9
bearishIV expensive, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put6.7
bullishIV rich premium, bullish flow
Covered Call5.1
bearishIV rich premium, bullish flow
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.