Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 48.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 2.08x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 22% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.12x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 37.8% — normal range
Effective IV 117.5% (ATM 37.8% + spread 39.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 51.82% (spread 39.84% + slippage 11.98%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 41.13 (vega 163.850 / spread 39.84%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -47% (strong bearish) — Raw: -49%
|OI skew| 15.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +100.0%, OI skew +15.9% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +0%, OTM: -49% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 50% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -4.1% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 22% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 68% — urgent
Conviction -47 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 39.8% — wide
OI 24,993 — adequate
Volume 87/day — thin
$1.99 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 70% — wider than sector
Depth 17.6 contracts (bid:13.0 ask:4.6) — thin
Avg slippage 11.98% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +11.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 48% — neutral
IV kink 4.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 997.26 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -47% @ 73% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.