
IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 90.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.94x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 91% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.00x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 91.3% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 117.1% (ATM 91.3% + spread 12.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 19.64% (spread 12.88% + slippage 6.76%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.63 (vega 3.389 / spread 12.88%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -8% (neutral) — Raw: -1%
|OI skew| 43.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +54.9%, OI skew +43.2% — aligned
0-DTE 26%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +19%, ATM: +6%, OTM: -9% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 42% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 87% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 26% — mixed
Aggressive execution 36% — patient
Conviction -8 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.9% — wide
OI 540,825 — deep
Volume 23,026/day — active
$0.64 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 95% — much wider than sector
Depth 789.7 contracts (bid:513.0 ask:276.7) — deep
Avg slippage 6.76% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +0.2% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 91% — seller opportunity
IV kink 3.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 264.78 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 56 (ITM 20% + inst 26%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.