IV is elevated with bearish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 86.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.30x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 93% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.90x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 75.4% — normal range
Effective IV 103.1% (ATM 75.4% + spread 13.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 19.00% (spread 13.86% + slippage 5.14%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 45.38 (vega 62.895 / spread 13.86%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -3% (neutral) — Raw: +4%
|OI skew| 10.7% — balanced
Vol skew -22.5%, OI skew -10.7% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +32%, ATM: -13%, OTM: +4% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 82% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 73% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 7% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 59% — patient
Conviction -3 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.9% — wide
OI 42,756 — adequate
Volume 1,642/day — adequate
$0.69 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 96% — much wider than sector
Depth 30.4 contracts (bid:13.6 ask:16.8) — thin
Avg slippage 5.14% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -9.9% — contango
IV percentile 86% — seller opportunity
IV kink -2.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1379.27 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -3% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 37 (ITM 20% + inst 7%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.