
IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 94.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 2.22x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 86% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 115.1% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 208.8% (ATM 115.1% + spread 46.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 59.37% (spread 46.85% + slippage 12.52%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.36 (vega 1.705 / spread 46.85%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -73% (strong bearish) — Raw: -65%
|OI skew| 32.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +51.8%, OI skew +32.9% — aligned
0-DTE 38%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -98%, ATM: -57%, OTM: -62% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 38% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.2% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 59% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 18% — mixed
Aggressive execution 39% — patient
Conviction -73 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 46.9% — wide
OI 46,347 — adequate
Volume 1,129/day — adequate
$2.34 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 94% — much wider than sector
Depth 166.7 contracts (bid:72.0 ask:94.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 12.52% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 95% — seller opportunity
IV kink -28.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 304.48 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -73% @ 87% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 48 (ITM 20% + inst 18%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.