IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 14.0% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.28x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 1% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.79x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 27.0% — normal range
Effective IV 31.9% (ATM 27.0% + spread 2.5% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 4.71% (spread 2.45% + slippage 2.26%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 58.77 (vega 14.399 / spread 2.45%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -4% (neutral) — Raw: -1%
|OI skew| 19.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew +50.9%, OI skew +19.8% — aligned
0-DTE 49%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +18%, ATM: -2%, OTM: -1% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 17% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 24.7% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +11.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 94% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 34% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 62% — urgent
Conviction -4 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 2.5% — acceptable
OI 4,879,531 — deep
Volume 1,205,125/day — active
$0.12 to cross — cheap
3 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 3% — much tighter than sector
Depth 417.6 contracts (bid:197.6 ask:220.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.26% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -21.2% — contango
IV percentile 14% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -5.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 63.91 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 13d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 64 (ITM 20% + inst 34%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.