bearish flow with unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 50.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 50% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.00x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.00x — normal
ATM IV 0.0% — normal range
Effective IV 17.9% (ATM 0.0% + spread 8.9% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 11.90% (spread 8.93% + slippage 2.97%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 8.93%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -8% (neutral) — Raw: +7%
|OI skew| 4.8% — balanced
Vol skew -46.8%, OI skew +4.8% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 5%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +37%, ATM: -20%, OTM: +8% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 96% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.8x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 10.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +14.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 80% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 49% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 37% — patient
Conviction -8 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.9% — wide
OI 120,086 — deep
Volume 12,294/day — active
$0.45 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 0% — much tighter than sector
Depth 419.70000000000005 contracts (bid:208.4 ask:211.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.97% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +0.0% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 50% — neutral
IV kink 0.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 10d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 79 (ITM 20% + inst 49%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.