IV is elevated. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 70.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.93x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 32% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.80x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 42.6% — normal range
Effective IV 50.3% (ATM 42.6% + spread 3.8% + bias) — good value
Total drag 6.68% (spread 3.83% + slippage 2.85%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 461.27 (vega 176.667 / spread 3.83%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -5% (neutral) — Raw: -7%
|OI skew| 4.4% — balanced
Vol skew +9.4%, OI skew -4.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 46%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +23%, ATM: -12%, OTM: -6% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 67% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 11.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 74% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 24% — mixed
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction -5 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 3.8% — acceptable
OI 2,022,133 — deep
Volume 228,644/day — active
$0.19 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 33% — tighter than sector
Depth 277.9 contracts (bid:144.6 ask:133.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.85% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -20.5% — contango
IV percentile 70% — seller opportunity
IV kink -6.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1780.91 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -5% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 54 (ITM 20% + inst 24%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.