bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 66.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.20x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 63% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.85x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 54.4% — normal range
Effective IV 114.5% (ATM 54.4% + spread 30.0% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 34.06% (spread 30.03% + slippage 4.03%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.09 (vega 3.266 / spread 30.03%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -21% (bearish) — Raw: -22%
|OI skew| 53.1% — call-heavy
Vol skew +77.4%, OI skew +53.1% — aligned
0-DTE 72%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -38%, ATM: -37%, OTM: -2% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 17% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 51% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 5% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 19% — patient
Conviction -21 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 30.0% — wide
OI 102,156 — deep
Volume 2,261/day — adequate
$1.50 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 81% — much wider than sector
Depth 340.9 contracts (bid:205.2 ask:135.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.03% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -14.8% — contango
IV percentile 66% — neutral
IV kink -9.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 63.29 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -21% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 35 (ITM 20% + inst 5%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.