IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 9.6% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.32x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 12% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.05x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 25.9% — normal range
Effective IV 71.1% (ATM 25.9% + spread 22.6% + bias) — fair
Total drag 30.27% (spread 22.61% + slippage 7.66%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 13.92 (vega 31.483 / spread 22.61%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +29% (bullish) — Raw: +39%
|OI skew| 6.7% — balanced
Vol skew +33.0%, OI skew -6.7% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 9%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -53%, ATM: +12%, OTM: +44% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 40% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -8.3% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 29% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 58% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction +29 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 22.6% — wide
OI 95,304 — deep
Volume 2,441/day — adequate
$1.13 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 17% — much tighter than sector
Depth 148.9 contracts (bid:81.4 ask:67.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.66% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 10% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 0.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2314.92 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 7d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +29% @ 64% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 88 (ITM 20% + inst 58%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.