IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 86.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.27x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 78% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 82.5% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 100.0% (ATM 82.5% + spread 8.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 14.16% (spread 8.77% + slippage 5.39%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.79 (vega 1.569 / spread 8.77%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -4% (neutral) — Raw: -17%
|OI skew| 31.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew +72.7%, OI skew +31.4% — aligned
0-DTE 19%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -55%, ATM: +52%, OTM: -17% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 29% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +16.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 65% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 79% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 42% — patient
Conviction -4 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.8% — wide
OI 2,021,601 — deep
Volume 119,292/day — active
$0.44 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 88% — much wider than sector
Depth 1,102.6999999999998 contracts (bid:617.3 ask:485.4) — deep
Avg slippage 5.39% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 86% — seller opportunity
IV kink -4.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 38.26 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 109 (ITM 20% + inst 79%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.