Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 53.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 7.66x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 20% — below sector median
Front/Back 2.16x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 45.4% — normal range
Effective IV 170.8% (ATM 45.4% + spread 62.7% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 77.66% (spread 62.68% + slippage 14.98%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.30 (vega 1.869 / spread 62.68%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +19% (bullish) — Raw: +26%
|OI skew| 3.7% — balanced
Vol skew +9.3%, OI skew -3.7% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 1%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +91%, ATM: +0%, OTM: +20% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 75% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.1% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 4% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 30% — mixed
Aggressive execution 15% — patient
Conviction +19 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 62.7% — wide
OI 222,017 — deep
Volume 335/day — thin
$3.13 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 56% — neutral vs sector
Depth 47.2 contracts (bid:26.5 ask:20.7) — thin
Avg slippage 14.98% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +116.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 54% — neutral
IV kink 26.7pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 467.27 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +19% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 60 (ITM 20% + inst 30%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.