Mixed signals. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 40.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.03x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 35% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.90x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 33.4% — normal range
Effective IV 74.9% (ATM 33.4% + spread 20.8% + bias) — fair
Total drag 39.65% (spread 20.77% + slippage 18.88%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 72.49 (vega 150.566 / spread 20.77%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -7% (neutral) — Raw: +1%
|OI skew| 11.2% — balanced
Vol skew -11.9%, OI skew +11.2% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 36%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -46%, ATM: +13%, OTM: +2% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 77% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 67% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 10% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 27% — patient
Conviction -7 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 20.8% — wide
OI 55,362 — deep
Volume 3,449/day — adequate
$1.04 to cross — expensive
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 37% — tighter than sector
Depth 64.2 contracts (bid:37.2 ask:27.0) — thin
Avg slippage 18.88% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -9.6% — contango
IV percentile 41% — neutral
IV kink -3.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 831.40 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -7% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 40 (ITM 20% + inst 10%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.