Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 63.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.19x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 60% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.07x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 52.1% — normal range
Effective IV 107.2% (ATM 52.1% + spread 27.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 34.00% (spread 27.57% + slippage 6.43%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.80 (vega 4.960 / spread 27.57%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -64% (strong bearish) — Raw: -47%
|OI skew| 62.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +0.0%, OI skew +62.2% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 17%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +32%, ATM: -6%, OTM: -77% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 79% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 69% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 71% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 23% — patient
Conviction -64 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 27.6% — wide
OI 207,059 — deep
Volume 6,995/day — active
$1.38 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 78% — wider than sector
Depth 1,411.2 contracts (bid:848.7 ask:562.5) — deep
Avg slippage 6.43% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +7.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 64% — neutral
IV kink 2.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 901.89 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -64% @ 82% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 101 (ITM 20% + inst 71%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.