FFord Motor Company
Options Analysis Report•MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES
Market Cap $51.6B|NYSE
● 2026-04-17$12.87
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-04-16 EOD data
1Y +35.9%YTD -3.5%7D +6.1%
Options Vol
59,640
30D
Implied Move
±12.2%
IV Rank
38%
F Options Overview
Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
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Value
Is IV priced right?
5.5
ExpensiveCheap
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV
levels.Risk Checks4/9 checks passed
IV Rank
≤35%IV Rank 51.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV Ratio
<1.05xIV/HV 1.11x — IV premium over HV
Sector Relative≤50%
Sector percentile 39% — below sector median
Term Structure
<1.1xFront/Back 0.78x — contango
Skew Normal
<1.25xPut/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
Absolute IV
<80%ATM IV 36.6% — normal range
Spread-Adjusted Value
<80%Effective IV 88.7% (ATM 36.6% + spread 26.0% + bias) — expensive
Execution Efficiency
<3.0%Total drag 32.25% (spread 26.03% + slippage 6.22%) — high friction
Vega Efficiency
≥5.0Vega efficiency 0.28 (vega 0.733 / spread 26.03%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
5.5
BearishBullish
Analyzes
put/call ratios
, open interest skew
, and flow direction to determine market bias.Risk ChecksBearish - Moderate signal (Conviction: -14%, Raw: -12%)
Flow Direction
|net sentiment| ≥25%Conviction-weighted: -14% (bearish) — Raw: -12%
OI Skew Magnitude
≥15%|OI skew| 0.7% — balanced
Volume-OI Alignment
Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%Vol skew +38.5%, OI skew -0.7% — divergent (opposite)
Conviction Quality
≥2/3 conditions0-DTE 37%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI Momentum
|change| ≥3%OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Smart Money Flow
|weighted flow| ≥20%ITM: -46%, ATM: -16%, OTM: -5% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%
Sector P/C percentile 26% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
3.8
QuietActive
Detects volume surges,
block trades
, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.Risk Checks1/9 checks passed
Volume Surge
≥1.5xVolume 0.9x avg — normal
Turnover Rate
≥15%Vol/OI 3.6% — normal turnover
Strike Concentration
≥60%Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
Multi-Day Persistence
≥2 days1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI Build
≥5%OI change +4.4% (5d) — building
Sector Relative≥60%
Sector activity percentile 34% — below sector avg
Trade Quality
≥30%Large trade volume 35% — institutional presence
Execution Urgency
≥60%Aggressive execution 46% — patient
Flow Conviction
≥30Conviction -14 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
4.8
IlliquidLiquid
Evaluates
bid-ask spreads
, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.Risk Checks4/8 checks passed
Tradeable Spread
≤5.0%Spread 26.0% — wide
Adequate OI
≥10,000OI 1,645,967 — deep
Active Volume
≥500Volume 59,640/day — active
Reasonable Cost
≤$0.50$1.30 to cross — expensive
Strike Coverage
≥5 strikes1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector Relative≤40%
Sector spread percentile 40% — tighter than sector
Order Book Depth
≥100 contractsDepth 1,087.8 contracts (bid:606.5 ask:481.3) — deep
Execution Quality
<1.0%Avg slippage 6.22% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
7.0
RiskyFavorable
Considers earnings proximity,
time decay
, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
Term Structure Clarity
|slope| ≥5%Slope -21.8% — contango
IV Percentile Clarity
<30 or >70IV percentile 52% — neutral
Event Detection
≥10pts kinkIV kink -10.7pts — no clear event
Theta/Vega Clarity
<0.5 or >2.0θ/ν ratio 52.72 — favors income trades
Expiration Distribution
≥3 expirations3 liquid expirations — flexible
Event Risk
≥60% (safe)acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread Momentum
<1.2 ratioSpread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow Momentum
≥25% strength + ≥50% consistencyFlow -14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Smart Money Timing
≥40 composite scoreScore 65 (ITM 20% + inst 35%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
Option Buyers
Long Calls5.6
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Long Puts5.3
bearishIV fair, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.3
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Covered Call4.9
bearishIV fair, mixed flow
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.