IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 3.0% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.40x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 4% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.85x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 22.5% — normal range
Effective IV 85.9% (ATM 22.5% + spread 31.7% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 45.55% (spread 31.72% + slippage 13.83%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.88 (vega 12.322 / spread 31.72%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -20% (bearish) — Raw: -27%
|OI skew| 8.5% — balanced
Vol skew +93.5%, OI skew -8.5% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 91%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -100%, ATM: -26%, OTM: -20% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 0% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +11.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 48% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 46% — patient
Conviction -20 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 31.7% — wide
OI 7,621 — thin
Volume 185/day — thin
$1.59 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 23% — tighter than sector
Depth 34.4 contracts (bid:19.0 ask:15.4) — thin
Avg slippage 13.83% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -15.1% — contango
IV percentile 3% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -2.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 284.58 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 14d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -20% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.