
bearish flow with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 64.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.42x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 62% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.24x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 52.5% — normal range
Effective IV 69.8% (ATM 52.5% + spread 8.7% + bias) — fair
Total drag 13.36% (spread 8.65% + slippage 4.71%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 38.12 (vega 32.972 / spread 8.65%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -94% (strong bearish) — Raw: -93%
|OI skew| 2.3% — balanced
Vol skew -100.0%, OI skew +2.3% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 100%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -93%, ATM: +0%, OTM: -100% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 61% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 13.6x avg — hot
Vol/OI 45.7% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.5% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 99% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 100% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 40% — patient
Conviction -94 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.7% — wide
OI 10,076 — adequate
Volume 4,602/day — adequate
$0.43 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 78% — wider than sector
Depth 33.8 contracts (bid:18.4 ask:15.4) — thin
Avg slippage 4.71% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +24.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 64% — neutral
IV kink 10.9pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 603.89 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -94% @ 97% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 130 (ITM 20% + inst 100%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.