IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 91.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.92x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 89% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 99.4% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 117.3% (ATM 99.4% + spread 9.0% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 16.86% (spread 8.97% + slippage 7.89%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 58.67 (vega 52.625 / spread 8.97%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +13% (bullish) — Raw: +14%
|OI skew| 6.3% — balanced
Vol skew +15.7%, OI skew -6.3% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 51%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +14%, ATM: +12%, OTM: +15% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 71% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 22.6% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +19.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 94% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 4% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction +13 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.0% — wide
OI 203,379 — deep
Volume 45,881/day — active
$0.45 to cross — cheap
14 liquid strikes — good coverage
Sector spread percentile 94% — much wider than sector
Depth 43.5 contracts (bid:21.6 ask:21.9) — thin
Avg slippage 7.89% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.9% — contango
IV percentile 92% — seller opportunity
IV kink -9.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 17.28 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +13% @ 56% consistency — unclear
Score 34 (ITM 20% + inst 4%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.