IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 76.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.17x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 76% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 44.9% — normal range
Effective IV 68.5% (ATM 44.9% + spread 11.8% + bias) — fair
Total drag 14.62% (spread 11.79% + slippage 2.83%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 4.39 (vega 5.173 / spread 11.79%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +3% (neutral) — Raw: +3%
|OI skew| 3.0% — balanced
Vol skew -24.5%, OI skew +3.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 47%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -55%, ATM: +66%, OTM: -10% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 84% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.5x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 6.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +10.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 62% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 60% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 12% — patient
Conviction +3 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.8% — wide
OI 160,804 — deep
Volume 10,560/day — active
$0.59 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 76% — wider than sector
Depth 627.5 contracts (bid:315.7 ask:311.8) — deep
Avg slippage 2.83% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -6.1% — contango
IV percentile 76% — seller opportunity
IV kink -4.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 195.22 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +3% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 90 (ITM 20% + inst 60%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.