IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 18.5% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.57x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 72% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.35x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 28.2% — normal range
Effective IV 51.7% (ATM 28.2% + spread 11.7% + bias) — good value
Total drag 19.01% (spread 11.73% + slippage 7.28%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 25.49 (vega 29.904 / spread 11.73%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +14% (bullish) — Raw: +17%
|OI skew| 14.8% — balanced
Vol skew +33.8%, OI skew +14.8% — aligned
0-DTE 23%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +3%, ATM: -14%, OTM: +28% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 25% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 14% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 45% — patient
Conviction +14 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.7% — wide
OI 466,093 — deep
Volume 7,044/day — active
$0.59 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 75% — wider than sector
Depth 302.6 contracts (bid:152.3 ask:150.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.28% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +35.0% — backwardation
IV percentile 18% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 8.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1748.80 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 6d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 44 (ITM 20% + inst 14%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.