IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 90.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.89x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 68% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.88x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 56.0% — normal range
Effective IV 61.9% (ATM 56.0% + spread 3.0% + bias) — good value
Total drag 4.98% (spread 2.96% + slippage 2.02%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 141.53 (vega 41.893 / spread 2.96%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -2% (neutral) — Raw: -1%
|OI skew| 0.3% — balanced
Vol skew +16.7%, OI skew -0.3% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 60%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +3%, ATM: -7%, OTM: +4% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 63% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 15.1% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 83% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 30% — mixed
Aggressive execution 55% — patient
Conviction -2 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 3.0% — acceptable
OI 3,881,098 — deep
Volume 585,951/day — active
$0.15 to cross — cheap
3 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 69% — wider than sector
Depth 206.39999999999998 contracts (bid:101.1 ask:105.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.02% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -11.7% — contango
IV percentile 90% — seller opportunity
IV kink -7.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 690.17 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 17d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 60 (ITM 20% + inst 30%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.