IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 85.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.67x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 58% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.10x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 79.8% — normal range
Effective IV 128.2% (ATM 79.8% + spread 24.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 35.54% (spread 24.22% + slippage 11.32%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.01 (vega 4.867 / spread 24.22%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +1% (neutral) — Raw: -16%
|OI skew| 65.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +32.6%, OI skew +65.2% — aligned
0-DTE 16%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -25%, ATM: +29%, OTM: -28% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 48% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 17% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 31% — patient
Conviction +1 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 24.2% — wide
OI 21,866 — adequate
Volume 89/day — thin
$1.21 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 83% — much wider than sector
Depth 85.4 contracts (bid:42.4 ask:43.0) — thin
Avg slippage 11.32% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +10.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 85% — seller opportunity
IV kink 8.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 264.51 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +1% @ 50% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.