IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 78.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.44x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 69% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.87x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 67.4% — normal range
Effective IV 90.7% (ATM 67.4% + spread 11.7% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 16.17% (spread 11.67% + slippage 4.50%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 45.20 (vega 52.747 / spread 11.67%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -32% (strong bearish) — Raw: -23%
|OI skew| 8.6% — balanced
Vol skew +67.9%, OI skew +8.6% — aligned
0-DTE 44%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -42%, ATM: -23%, OTM: -19% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 32% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 12.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +19.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 90% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 25% — mixed
Aggressive execution 43% — patient
Conviction -32 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.7% — wide
OI 165,389 — deep
Volume 21,246/day — active
$0.58 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 87% — much wider than sector
Depth 150.39999999999998 contracts (bid:76.8 ask:73.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.50% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -12.6% — contango
IV percentile 78% — seller opportunity
IV kink -15.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1939.22 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -32% @ 66% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 55 (ITM 20% + inst 25%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.