IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 77.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.45x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 86% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.88x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 66.3% — normal range
Effective IV 74.4% (ATM 66.3% + spread 4.0% + bias) — fair
Total drag 6.99% (spread 4.05% + slippage 2.94%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 7.68 (vega 3.112 / spread 4.05%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +5% (neutral) — Raw: +5%
|OI skew| 30.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +45.1%, OI skew +30.2% — aligned
0-DTE 33%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -8%, ATM: +9%, OTM: +6% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 20% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 10.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +10.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 82% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 29% — mixed
Aggressive execution 61% — urgent
Conviction +5 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 4.0% — acceptable
OI 4,738,927 — deep
Volume 512,114/day — active
$0.20 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 88% — much wider than sector
Depth 1,191.4 contracts (bid:598.6 ask:592.8) — deep
Avg slippage 2.94% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -11.6% — contango
IV percentile 77% — seller opportunity
IV kink -11.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 187.49 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +5% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 59 (ITM 20% + inst 29%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.