IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 3.7% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.92x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 6% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.83x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 17.5% — normal range
Effective IV 80.0% (ATM 17.5% + spread 31.2% + bias) — fair
Total drag 60.57% (spread 31.23% + slippage 29.34%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 4.30 (vega 13.440 / spread 31.23%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +70% (strong bullish) — Raw: +78%
|OI skew| 54.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew +95.1%, OI skew +54.4% — aligned
0-DTE 40%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +33%, ATM: +76%, OTM: +100% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 2% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.1x avg — hot
Vol/OI 6.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
2 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +14.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 69% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 46% — patient
Conviction +70 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 31.2% — wide
OI 2,682 — thin
Volume 163/day — thin
$1.56 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 22% — tighter than sector
Depth 66.7 contracts (bid:49.0 ask:17.7) — thin
Avg slippage 29.34% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -17.1% — contango
IV percentile 4% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -1.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2687.98 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +70% @ 86% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.