IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 84.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.09x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 73% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.91x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 78.0% — normal range
Effective IV 92.9% (ATM 78.0% + spread 7.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 11.08% (spread 7.45% + slippage 3.63%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.66 (vega 0.493 / spread 7.45%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +10% (neutral) — Raw: +3%
|OI skew| 34.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew +56.4%, OI skew +34.6% — aligned
0-DTE 40%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +6%, ATM: +9%, OTM: -0% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 44% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 7.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +9.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 71% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 35% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 45% — patient
Conviction +10 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.5% — wide
OI 691,598 — deep
Volume 53,488/day — active
$0.37 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 85% — much wider than sector
Depth 470.3 contracts (bid:269.1 ask:201.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.63% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -8.6% — contango
IV percentile 84% — seller opportunity
IV kink -8.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2.54 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +10% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 65 (ITM 20% + inst 35%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.