IV is low with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 13.0% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.15x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 7% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.02x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 26.8% — normal range
Effective IV 43.6% (ATM 26.8% + spread 8.4% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 12.97% (spread 8.41% + slippage 4.56%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.97 (vega 5.858 / spread 8.41%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +9% (neutral) — Raw: +11%
|OI skew| 8.1% — balanced
Vol skew +40.3%, OI skew +8.1% — aligned
0-DTE 23%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +36%, ATM: +9%, OTM: +10% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 56% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 7.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 56% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 34% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 57% — patient
Conviction +9 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.4% — wide
OI 1,129,853 — deep
Volume 87,330/day — active
$0.42 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 18% — much tighter than sector
Depth 430.70000000000005 contracts (bid:237.9 ask:192.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.56% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +1.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 13% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -2.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 238.13 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 10d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +9% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 64 (ITM 20% + inst 34%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.