IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 3.8% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.32x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 0% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.17x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 22.7% — normal range
Effective IV 40.7% (ATM 22.7% + spread 9.0% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 13.62% (spread 8.99% + slippage 4.63%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 119.05 (vega 107.023 / spread 8.99%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +4% (neutral) — Raw: +3%
|OI skew| 31.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +50.5%, OI skew +31.9% — aligned
0-DTE 27%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -10%, ATM: -23%, OTM: +10% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 24% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.6x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 5.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 64% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 32% — patient
Conviction +4 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.0% — wide
OI 37,066 — adequate
Volume 2,026/day — adequate
$0.45 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 4% — much tighter than sector
Depth 51.5 contracts (bid:26.4 ask:25.1) — thin
Avg slippage 4.63% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +16.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 4% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 3.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 3822.24 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.