Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 69.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.08x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 31% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.00x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 42.1% — normal range
Effective IV 61.4% (ATM 42.1% + spread 9.7% + bias) — good value
Total drag 13.66% (spread 9.65% + slippage 4.01%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 20.71 (vega 19.985 / spread 9.65%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -4% (neutral) — Raw: -3%
|OI skew| 20.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew -2.8%, OI skew +20.2% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 39%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +6%, ATM: -16%, OTM: +1% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 78% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 8.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +10.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 59% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 18% — mixed
Aggressive execution 25% — patient
Conviction -4 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.7% — wide
OI 567,877 — deep
Volume 45,928/day — active
$0.48 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 32% — tighter than sector
Depth 587.0 contracts (bid:267.6 ask:319.4) — deep
Avg slippage 4.01% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -0.2% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 70% — neutral
IV kink 1.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 69.27 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 48 (ITM 20% + inst 18%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.