IV is elevated with bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 76.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.04x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 44% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 45.4% — normal range
Effective IV 61.4% (ATM 45.4% + spread 8.0% + bias) — good value
Total drag 16.26% (spread 7.99% + slippage 8.27%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 24.58 (vega 19.636 / spread 7.99%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +5% (neutral) — Raw: +9%
|OI skew| 22.1% — put-heavy
Vol skew -25.3%, OI skew -22.1% — aligned
0-DTE 12%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -1%, ATM: +5%, OTM: +12% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 91% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 29% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 34% — patient
Conviction +5 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.0% — wide
OI 39,689 — adequate
Volume 1,566/day — adequate
$0.40 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 45% — neutral vs sector
Depth 59.5 contracts (bid:29.2 ask:30.3) — thin
Avg slippage 8.27% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.6% — contango
IV percentile 77% — seller opportunity
IV kink -2.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 85.19 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +5% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.