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AEPAmerican Electric Power Company, Inc.

Options Analysis ReportELECTRIC SERVICES
Market Cap $66.6B|NASDAQ
2026-08-31$122.31
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +11.1%YTD +5.6%7D +0.3%
800
30D
±5.2%
19%

AEP Options Overview

IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.4VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

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AEP Gamma Walls

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AEP Hedge Radar

Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where AEP sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the fair band (5.61) — options are pricing vol 110% above what the stock has actually been realizing, and near-dated vol is priced 3% below far-dated, measured against this name's own rolling 29-trading-day realized moves (475 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (4.86): it is trading 1% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.

Protection cost
5.61/ 10fair
Basis: cross_sectional
Fragility
4.86/ 10neutral
Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

7.7
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 8.0% — cheap vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.13x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 55% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.85x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 21.3% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 61.2% (ATM 21.3% + spread 19.9% + bias) — good value

<3.0%

Total drag 27.57% (spread 19.93% + slippage 7.64%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 5.21 (vega 10.383 / spread 19.93%) — acceptable

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

5.7
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -22%, Raw: -18%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -22% (bearish) — Raw: -18%

≥15%

|OI skew| 32.6% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +49.5%, OI skew +32.6% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +43%, ATM: -8%, OTM: -21% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 35% — bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.2
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.3x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 1.5% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +11.8% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 34% — below sector avg

≥30%

Large trade volume 24% — mixed

≥60%

Aggressive execution 24% — patient

≥30

Conviction -22 (bearish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.9
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 19.9% — wide

≥10,000

OI 52,988 — deep

≥500

Volume 800/day — adequate

≤$0.50

$1.00 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 59% — neutral vs sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 152.2 contracts (bid:78.4 ask:73.8) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 7.64% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.5
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -15.4% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 8% — buyer opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink -2.6pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 206.84 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -22% @ 61% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 54 (ITM 20% + inst 24%) — moderate institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.2
bullishIV cheap, mixed flow
Long Puts5.7
bearishIV cheap, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.4
bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow
Covered Call3.9
bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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