IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 2.5% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.27x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 24% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.11x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 22.4% — normal range
Effective IV 48.1% (ATM 22.4% + spread 12.9% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 18.23% (spread 12.86% + slippage 5.37%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 31.61 (vega 40.649 / spread 12.86%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +41% (strong bullish) — Raw: +35%
|OI skew| 36.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew -11.9%, OI skew +36.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 8%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +8%, ATM: -2%, OTM: +47% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 84% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 28% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 22% — mixed
Aggressive execution 43% — patient
Conviction +41 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.9% — wide
OI 54,901 — deep
Volume 917/day — adequate
$0.64 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 31% — tighter than sector
Depth 208.8 contracts (bid:99.8 ask:109.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.37% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +11.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 2% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 2.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1639.06 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +41% @ 70% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 52 (ITM 20% + inst 22%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.