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AESAES Corporation

Options Analysis Report•COGENERATION SERVICES & SMALL POWER PRODUCERS
Market Cap $10.5B|NYSE
● 2026-08-31$14.73
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +9.8%YTD -0.6%7D -0.1%
392
30D
±2.1%
0%

AES Options Overview

IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.9VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

Learn
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AES Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

7.7
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 0.0% — cheap vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 2.41x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 0% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.16x — backwardation

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 7.0% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 77.8% (ATM 7.0% + spread 35.4% + bias) — fair

<3.0%

Total drag 42.19% (spread 35.39% + slippage 6.80%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 35.39%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

5.2
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBearish - Weak signal (Conviction: -16%, Raw: -23%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -16% (bearish) — Raw: -23%

≥15%

|OI skew| 5.6% — balanced

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +46.9%, OI skew -5.6% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -23%, ATM: +16%, OTM: -62% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 42% — bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

1.6
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.1x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 0.2% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +2.1% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 3% — quiet vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 19% — patient

≥30

Conviction -16 (bearish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.7
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 35.4% — wide

≥10,000

OI 193,686 — deep

≥500

Volume 392/day — thin

≤$0.50

$1.77 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 9% — much tighter than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 133.9 contracts (bid:108.3 ask:25.6) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 6.80% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.2
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope +15.9% — backwardation

<30 or >70

IV percentile 0% — buyer opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink 1.0pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -16% @ 58% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.0
bullishIV cheap, mixed flow
Long Puts5.8
bearishIV cheap, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.2
bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow
Covered Call4.0
bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

More on AES

AES gamma wallsAES max painAES IV rankAES options flow