IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 96.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.97x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 95% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.10x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 70.7% — normal range
Effective IV 87.8% (ATM 70.7% + spread 8.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 14.70% (spread 8.55% + slippage 6.15%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 14.59 (vega 12.477 / spread 8.55%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +14% (bullish) — Raw: +12%
|OI skew| 6.8% — balanced
Vol skew +24.8%, OI skew -6.8% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 25%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +16%, ATM: +2%, OTM: +12% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 45% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.9x avg — hot
Vol/OI 11.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
2 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +4.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 90% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 20% — mixed
Aggressive execution 34% — patient
Conviction +14 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.6% — wide
OI 209,731 — deep
Volume 23,319/day — active
$0.43 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 95% — much wider than sector
Depth 150.9 contracts (bid:82.7 ask:68.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.15% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +10.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 97% — seller opportunity
IV kink 3.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 22.80 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 19d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 50 (ITM 20% + inst 20%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.