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ALLThe Allstate Corporation

Options Analysis ReportFIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE
Market Cap $65.9B|NYSE
2026-08-31$260.58
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +28.1%YTD +27.8%7D +0.1%
5,193
30D
±6.7%
26%

ALL Options Overview

bullish flow with unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.8VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

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ALL Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

6.9
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 32.9% — cheap vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.90x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 62% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.87x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 26.2% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 38.4% (ATM 26.2% + spread 6.1% + bias) — excellent value

<3.0%

Total drag 11.40% (spread 6.10% + slippage 5.30%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 103.84 (vega 63.341 / spread 6.10%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

2.6
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -85%, Raw: -82%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -85% (strong bearish) — Raw: -82%

≥15%

|OI skew| 17.6% — put-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +98.1%, OI skew -17.6% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -89%, ATM: +39%, OTM: -2% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 0% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

7.1
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks5/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 2.6x avg — hot

≥15%

Vol/OI 15.3% — high turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +4.2% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 96% — very active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 70% — heavy institutional

≥60%

Aggressive execution 22% — patient

≥30

Conviction -85 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

4.5
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 6.1% — wide

≥10,000

OI 33,914 — adequate

≥500

Volume 5,193/day — active

≤$0.50

$0.30 to cross — cheap

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 63% — wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 36.0 contracts (bid:15.2 ask:20.8) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 5.30% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.7
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -12.6% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 33% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink -2.0pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 967.03 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -85% @ 92% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 100 (ITM 20% + inst 70%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.2
bullishIV cheap, bearish flow
Long Puts6.8
bearishIV cheap, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put3.9
bullishIV too cheap, bearish flow
Covered Call5.6
bearishIV too cheap, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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